Bebel Without a Clause

Bebel Without a Clause

Monday, June 17, 2013

Barisan AIR(Asalkan Ia Razali/Razaly/Razaleigh/Razalee): Rumours from the White House

Some latest updates from this Mara alumnus.

Rumours from the White House


The current administration has an obsession with the American President, Obama since Dato Dr Jamaluddin Jarjis was sent to Washington to fill the position of Ambassador to United States.

The whole civil service machinery have been instructed to focus on his upcoming visit in September that no one seemed to be concerned with policy or 2014 budget discussion.

To the common political eyes, it could be Prime Minister Dato Najib's appreciation for Obama's surprise call to acknowledge Barisan Nasional's win. It ends Anwar's post GE propaganda.

However, the astute observer fear that the call of support may have it's price in the form of the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA) (correction). We were made to understand that in this region, it is only Malaysia that has not signed this dreaded agreement. [Read here and here.]

The neo-liberal advisers in the likes of Omar Ong and Nor Mohamed Yakcop are cheering for Najib to sign. But, it is the death nail to our economic sovereignty and will sent the majority of Bumiputera back to colonial days poverty..

However, the White House rumours we are writing about today is not of Obama's but of Tengku Razaleigh's Jalan Langgak Golf home in Kuala Lumpur.

Kept Alive



Talks of Tengku Razaleigh aspiring to be Prime Minister has not stopped despite him being in a late age of 76.

The tengkolok that cost him the '90 GE
It is partly because since 1984 (save for his years in Semangat 46 and a near miss in the 1990 general election), Ku Li, as he is seldom called, has consistently offered himself for the position of party Presidency at every UMNO party election.

Nothing less, not even to run for Vice President when he returned to UMNO, even though he has never held the position of Deputy President.

If there are such positions called Pengerusi Tetap (Permanent Chairman) and Timbalan Pengerusi Tetap (Deputy Permanent Chairman) in UMNO, Ku Li deserve the position of Calun Tetap untuk Presiden (Permanent Candidate for President) UMNO.

And, in recent years, it was kept alive through great spinning by online news.

These spinning can be as absurd as Ku Li's boy, Jadawi's claim that Tun Abdullah Ahmad Badawi will vacate his position for Ku Li in weeks after he swore in as Prime Minister in late 2003. No politician would ever do that, not even a sleepy one.

During the "reign" of Abdullah, much of the spinning by Ku Li's boys on Malaysia Today came in the form of a theme called National Correction. When Najib became Prime Minister, it was spinned by Raja Petra (not Ku Li's boys anymore) as one of the Third Force.


Playing the same chord was blogger Sakmongkol aka Dato Ariff Sabri who described Ku Li as the only person capable of putting Malaysia on strong footing. [Read here]


The suspicion is DAP's former Pekan assemblymen Dato Ariff Sabri's loyalty is with Aspan Alias's boss Ku Li. Sources claimed that they are parked in DAP to wait for the right moment and there are many of them spread all over in DAP, PKR and PAS.

However, someone told us that Aspan have been berating on DAP's multiracial claim in his blog lately

Coup d'Etat?

Now, since last Thursday, the same type of rumour on Ku Li surfaced again. The Malaysian Insider reported that MPs from various groups of the political divide have been making a beeline to his home cum office. Extract below:

------------------------------

KUALA LUMPUR, June 13 — Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah has been meeting more MPs from both rival coalitions this week in a bid to get elected as prime minister after Parliament convenes on June 24, say sources.

The Malaysian Insider understands the Kelantan prince has initiated the meetings at his White House-styled residence in Langgak Golf here, to discuss strategies to get enough numbers in the 13th Parliament to take Datuk Seri Najib Razak’s job.

He would need 112 votes, including himself, if a motion is approved for the 222-seat Dewan Rakyat to choose a prime minister. But is still doubtful if he can get the numbers to unseat Najib.

Read on here.

------------------------------

Source from one Ku Li's boy said there is a discussion towards a vote of no confidence. PAS and DAP is with Ku Li but PKR could not agree. They insist on Anwar to be the Prime Minister.

But that would not attract the UMNO MPs willing to support Ku Li.


We questioned the feasibility of only Ku Li, the 17 disgruntled BN MPs, 21 PAS MPs and 38 DAP MPs to carry a motion of no confidence. It is only 77 votes to far from the 112 votes.

Assume PKR changed their mind, it will then be 107.

Same source claim confidently that there will be more coming from BN. Without divulging his secret plan, he claimed there are lots of disgruntled UMNO MP.

Perhaps so, because Selangor and Johor are not happy too with the cabinet appointment mathematics. Dato Ahmad Said of Terengganu was not happy with attempts to remove him from his MB post. Dato Adnan Yaacob may have some issue since he has taken a different tune to voice for a contest.

Polarisation

Disgruntled? Yes but is it enough to crossover. We have a different mathematics.

Jahabar may have jumped the gun on Ku Li to conclude that it is a preparation for a coup on Najib. It should make the first day of Parliament on June 24th an interesting watch but Zainal Epi of The Malay Mail has a more plausible story. Extract below:

------------------------------

THERE
is a move to change the political system that will reflect the racial breakdown of the country. The idea is to formulate a political platform — not a party — that represents every race in which none will feel sidelined.


Heading it are 17 MPs from Sabah and Sarawak who met Tengku Razaleigh Hamzah on Monday to find ways to change the political system that can truly reflect the true racial breakdown of the country.

They discussed the current political scenario where race had become the focus of each party despite being under an umbrella that is reflective of racial representations according to the population.

The MPs expressed their worry given the trend had divided the population and mending them would be not be as easy and quickly.

Sources told The Malay Mail that the meeting did not conclude with resolutions or decisions, but suffice to say, it could be an impetus for other MPs to think and, if they have sufficient numbers, would move the motion in Parliament.

One of them said it was not a move to oust Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak ....

Read on here.

------------------------------


The source also said that for the time being, Ku Li would take the opportunity to submit a set of "suggestions" for Najib. Failing which he will ....

RealPolitik

Whether Ku Li's team has their act in order, it cannot be ascertain.

We will have to wait and see. It is easy to sense of movement when they are meeting people everywhere and the indication but not necessary confirmation is whether it is attracting audience at the ground.

To a political player, polarisation is only a facade. When the tree shake, it could be wind blowing.

However, that approach does not put Ku Li in an advantageous position. He has his aura and past achievement but he is not known to the current generation of political players.

Nevertheless, Ku Li is not a novice in this game.


The thing with old timers like Tun Dr Mahathir, Pehin Seri Taib Mahmud, Tun Daim, and Ku Li is that they have history behind them. Cheap character attack does not work.

Their every move is not so simple and easy to read. They know what everyone is thinking, what everyone usually do in every situation and what is the likely outcome.


Their ability to read and anticipate makes them many steps ahead.

If they can keep up with the times, their every move can be deadly. Mind you, Ku Li is one political rival that Dr Mahathir respect.

When it comes to permainan orang lama-lama (old timers' game), we step aside to observe and learn. They have too many tricks up their sleeve to be able to read.

Stretching the Spin

Anyway, if such info had leaked to us, it would have leaked to Jahabar Sadiq too.

Jahabar, whose portal is now in search of a new direction and funder since it is likely to be running out of fuel to burn and some 30 people had left. He needs to get a new political master.


He thought the story of Najib under pressure due to his advisers would make Najib publicly vulnerable to rumours and spins. On Friday, an SMS came in:
DS Najib & political arch rival DS Anwar are in Jakarta today fuelling talk of a meeting that could help the PM face down possible rivals in Parliament and his own party after poor results in Elections 2013 (Malaysian Insider).
Any novice political player would fall for it since there is no permanent friends and no permanent enemy in politics. An extract of the report below:

------------------------------

The Malaysian Insider understands that the meeting has been in the works for at least a week, just as Najib is facing a likely challenge in the Umno elections this year end and a possible motion of no confidence after parliament convenes on June 24.

It is learnt that Home Minister Datuk Seri Ahmad Zahid Hamidi, who is close to both leaders, has been tasked to facilitate the meeting. He is in Jakarta for a bilateral visit.

"A meeting has been set up with Najib before Anwar meets Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono on Satuday," a source told The Malaysian Insider.

Aides to both leaders are tightlipped about the meeting but sources say the duo have a common interest in preventing other challengers for the prime minister's post.

Read the full report here.

------------------------------

Naughty of Jahabar trying to implicate Zahid. He is not in the position of weakness in UMNO to undertake such initiative.

Nothing definite of Malaysian Insider's understanding and tight lipped aides.

Unlikely Pact

Sentiment seemed to be against him but Najib is still in a position of strength. Najib-Muhyiddin pact is still a solid combination in UMNO. The possibility of Sabah and Sarawak leaving is unlikely.

So, a pact between Najib and Anwar is most unlikely.


If there had been any inter-faction and coalition pact, our reading is that it would be a Pak Lah-Anwar-Ku Li pact. The problem is Ku Li will never be Anwar's underling and Anwar believe it is his time soon.

Most important, Ku Li is not at the age to do any more political battle.

He wants to keep his history intact and keep talking so that he will one day have the thrill of saying "Hmm ... I've warn of this before."

If he does take such risk, he must be absolutely sure the battle will not end with another lose. The last a royal, gentleman and statesman like him would do is to denigrate himself and be called a buruh kasar. That's what a few MPs said after the meeting as told by an East Malaysian-linked source.

Thus far, Anwar has denied the meeting.


Read also MIM's posting here which dispute such possibility.

The rumours may go on and Jahabar can still stretch the spin for a few more days. But, he has not too much time to play this.

Anwar's propaganda, to dispute the election results and EC and his boycott of Parliament and swearing in, which PAS, DAP and Azmin are not going along, will end by June 24th.

Najib's will be left with his real problem of shaking off his incompetent advisers and officers. He should be worried because he seem to be making one too many mistake [Read Syed Akbar here and Life of Annie here] and someone is trying to be a puppeteer. [Read Apanama here.]

They are not thinking right and dragging him down.

Orang melayu di halau dari Bumi Melayu bernama Tanah Seri

Tanine, 969 monks, Buddhists and authorities ordered all the Muslims to get out of Tanine, if not they will burn, damage the properties and bodily harm.
Tanine Township Admin Office (Myo Nae Hmu) is a Christian, and oppose those Gadones (I am not insulting the good revered true monks, the 969 fake monks just shave their skin-heads and wore the saffron clothes like THAW NODDKE HTO hunter to kill Saddan Sin Min) and 969…He was asked back by them to know his authority and asked if he dare to announce or sign any order.
See this link for more...

For details on Tanine as Tanah Melayu, here

Friday, June 14, 2013

Cara sebenarnya menjunjung duli Raja-Raja Melayu

Ajaran kepada penghina raja yang tidak mengenang budi, menjunjung duli (ibu jari kaki) adalah sebenarnya cara kita menghadapi raja-raja Melayu dan Siam.

 

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Pakatan Bumiputera vs Pakatan Rakyat: Strategy dan Polisi apakah yang PM harus sasarkan sekarang?@NajibRazak

Ramai yang sekarang tidak puas hati polisi kerajaan atau lebih2 lagi BN selepas menang PRU13 dan masih kalah di beberapa negeri di Semenanjung.
Lebih2 lagi layanan BN terhadap beberapa parti yang tidak 'perform' yang mendapat lebih dari apa yang disumbangnya. Kalau kurang kerusi, kuranglah sepatutnya pengaruh mereka dalam kerajaan.
Hakikatnya, kaum Cina telah membuat keputusan untuk tidak bersama dengan kerajaan yang ada sekarang. Maka adalah adil sekiranya BN membuat apa yang perlu untuk tidak melantikkan apa2 jawatan menteri. Hanya, 10% sahaja yang mengundi BN. Maka kalau nak bagi jawatan berilah 0.1x25% = 2.5% sahaja. Maknanya kalau ada 100 jawatan hanya 2.5 sahaja diperuntukkan kepada kaum Cina. Begitu juga India.
Pakatan yang menang adalah Pakatan Bumiputera maka seharusnya jawatan di beri juga kepada kaum Bumiputera di Sabah Sarawak.
kalau tidak ada timbul curiga ketulusan dalam barisan kepimpinan. Ini kita tidak mahu lebih2 lagi semasa bersidang nanti tiba2 MP BN dari Sarawak-Sabah tidak hadir pulak.

Polisi yang PM harus dasarkan adalah senang sahaja.

Sekiranya dalam PRU13 kita sasarkan 20% undi Cina dan 65% Melayu maka sekiranya ini sasaran Cina tidak berlaku, War Room (hanya tinggal nama wawar room sahaja.)seharus mempertingkatkan undi Melayu kepada 10% lagi.
Kiraan angka ini sama sahaja dalam PM membentuk polisi.
Sepatutnya, PM sasarkan polisi yang akan memuaskan sebanyak 65+10 = 75 peratus Bumiputera untuk BN menang PRU14 secara dua pertiga.
Dalam ertikata yang lain, polisi kerajaan mesti menguntungkan 75% Bumiputera.
Ini polisi bukan polisi anti Cina. Ini hanya polisi membela kaum Bumiputera.
 

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

FloodGate: Pak Lah and the Pandora Box

Aku cilok dari member mana entah: Later aku reveal the source.
Ini Floodgate macam Kelang Gate kot. Mungkin penulis itu nak hint sedikit pasal Azmin yang duduk di Kelang Gate.
Dear all,
Regarding talks that the Chinese community overwhelmingly (90%-95%) voted against BN in the last GE, I find it baffling..
  1. ….that a community can be so united in displaying its political will.
  2. ….and able to pull off such a thing quietly without being detected in advance by our leaders.
Amazing, eh?

  • All the free dinners, free concerts and bla,bla, bla, whilst giving the impression that support was forthcoming to BN, didn't materialize at all.

  • In short, appears that PM Najib and BN "sudah kena kencing bigtime lah" by the Chinese community!


Well, on a serious not, I'm just trying to understand the factors that led to such a united voting pattern from the Chinese community. Allow me to share my thoughts with you on why such a phenomena happened.



FACTOR 1 :
The Floodgate has been opened wide after the 2008 GE, thanks to Pak Lah.

  • In the past (prior to 2008),  Chinese feel they have no choice politically but to vote BN  for their economic survival.

  • They have no choice politically largely because of the FEAR of the unknown.

  • The fear that the Opposition may bankrupt the country, or may not govern well, leading to their rice bowls being affected.

  • BN has been successful in conditioning that into their minds.

  • So even if UMNO is deemed racist, the Chinese just tutup telinga and ignore as long as they can survive and make money.

  • But after the 2008 GE, the floodgate has been opened wide, thanks to Pak Lah.

  • Perception of the leadership then was so bad that maybe led to the Chinese to just tutup mata and voted for the Opposition. That fear has suddenly been overcome.

  • Now there is NO more fear of the unknown as the floodgate has been opened wide.

  • Why? The Opposition has shown that they can govern well in the states that they are in control.  And they're capable of helming the Federal Govt. So the Chinese  fears towards the Opposition all the while seem unfounded. Chinese now feel they have a choice, politically.

  • Now the Chinese realize they're politically rejuvenated.



FACTOR 2 :
Flaring up of racial sentiments by the Opposition especially DAP.

  • The call for MC A to be punished for being UMNO lackeys is actually racist in nature.

  • Plus the perception that Chinese has been marginalized and treated as second class citizens by the UMNO led BN Govt also made things worse.

  • But this factor on its own would NOT work to drive the Chinese to overwhelmly reject BN. (Why I say so? The DAP has been using the same tactics for decades without much success). So there must be other factors coming into play as well. (so see analysis below).



FACTOR 3 : Perception of a corrupt and rotten Government.
  • The perception that MCA leaders semua sudah "kenyang", so it high time to give opportunity to the DAP. But such perception is not only confined to the MCA but extended to the other component parties in BN as well.
ANALYSIS :
  • In my humble opinion, Factor 2 (Flaring up of racial sentiments by the DAP) in the past few decades DID NOT WORK in full simply because of the absence of FACTOR 1 i.e. the floodgate has NOT been opened wide then.
  • But after the 2008 GE, Factor 1 (the floodgate has been opened wide), came into play. That opened to the eyes of other Chinese as well.
  • Chinese who voted for BN in the 2008 GE, realize now have a choice to vote for the Opposition. So they voted  for the Opposition in 2013.
  • Plus the Chinese who voted for the Opposition back in 2008, also voted similarly  in 2013.
  • That's why BN kena double whammy…Chinese overwhelmingly voted for the Opposition in the 2013 GE. (That was not the case back in 2008).
  • This also explain why despite the incessant attacks by BN to potray the Opposition as a fragmented coalition with differing ideologies simply did not work with the Chinese community. As there is now no more fear of the unknown! (Remember, the floodgate has been opened wide?).
What does the above all mean?
  • Even if PM Najib manage to overcome Factor 3 by improving his Administration's governance and eliminate corruption completely by appointing angels into his administration, will the Chinese vote come back to BN in the next GE?
  • Well, not necessarily in my view since you still have Factor 1 (the floodgate has been opened wide) and Factor 2 (flaring up of racial sentiments by the DAP) coming into play.
What am I trying to say?
  • Basically whatever effort put in or resources poured into the Chinese community by the PM and his administration will not necessarily get BN the votes simply because of factor 1 and factor 2, which will still come into play in each and subsequent GEs.
  • Floodgate tu dah terbukak and terkangkang besar, so menang tak boleh tutup pun…
  • …unless the Govt goes for full meritocracy and eliminate any form of preferential treatment for Bumis. But then, that would be a political suicide since Malays still form the majority of this country and any attempt to do so will result to a backlash.
CONCLUSION :
  • No one wants to do an investment with negative return. Or putting more and more resources, yet the results seem stagnant.
  • Our PM should gauge what is the OPTIMUM amount of effort and resources to be put in to woo the Chinese community, given that factor 1 and factor 2 will still come into play in the next GE. Kalau tak, nanti kena kencing bigtime lagi..

  • The balance of the resources should be channelled elsewhere i.e. to the other communities to get better returns.

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