Bebel Without a Clause

Bebel Without a Clause

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

To nuke or not to nuke (Part 3 and final)

To nuke or not to nuke that is the question (Part 3)
Writing this report makes me now realize, the time consuming activities for planners and complex decision makers have to bear and spend.

Wouldn’t one want a systematic computer aided tool, which could alleviate the problems and issues when a complex decision has to be made?

I had the opportunity to use a tool developed by local engineer. As this tool is solely developed to fulfill the needs for an affordable Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) based decision making tool, I found that this much better to just submit the report and conclude the summary of the decision model.

So, here it goes. This report can be downloaded from this website here, the whole AHP file (bsg format) can be downloaded here. A trial version of the software can be downloaded from It is made by Malaysians for Malaysian software, so support if you can. It is the only company in Asia Pacific who has the leading edge AHP engine.

The weighted impact of the factors to the decision
 Legend: DT - Data Compared, PW - Pairwise Compared

Rating Table

Rating Table and Criteria Weights (Red signifies the top 80% of the weights)


Based on Benefits-Opportunities-Costs-Risks modeling techniques using AHP as a judgment tool, the decision are for a nuclear power plant to be built in Malaysia as it proven to be provide more benefits and opportunities in the long run over the costs and risks imposed by other alternatives. One could see from the above calculations that Nuclear has higher score in all the BOCR methods.

Hydropower is the next best option for Malaysia to meet its power needs in another 10-20 years time.

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